How to measure organized crime?
A series of 13 discussion papers, one for each illicit market considered during the development of the Index.
Read more on globalinitiative.netCriminal markets
4.400.05
An assessment of the value, prevalence and non-monetary impacts of a specific crime type.
Human trafficking
8.500.00
Illicit activity involving coercion, deception, abduction or fraud for the purpose of exploitation, regardless of the victim’s consent.
Human smuggling
5.500.50
Activities by an organized crime group involving the illegal entry, transit or residence of migrants for a financial or material benefit.
Extortion and protection racketeering
5.00 n/a
Crimes linked to exerting control over a territory/market including as a mediator and/or requesting a benefit in exchange for protection.
Arms trafficking
2.000.00
The sale, acquisition, movement, and diversion of arms, their parts and ammunition from legal to illegal commerce and/or across borders.
Trade in counterfeit goods
4.00 n/a
The production, transport, storage and sale of goods that are fraudulently mislabeled or fraudulent imitations of registered brands.
Illicit trade in excisable goods
5.00 n/a
The illicit transport, handling and sale of excise consumer goods despite a ban or outside a legal market. Excludes oil and counterfeits.
Flora crimes
2.500.50
The illicit trade and possession of species covered by CITES convention, and other species protected under national law.
Fauna crimes
2.50-0.50
The poaching, illicit trade in and possession of species covered by CITES and other species protected by national law. Includes IUU fishing.
Non-renewable resource crimes
7.000.00
The illicit extraction, smuggling, mingling, bunkering or mining of natural resources and the illicit trade of such commodities.
Heroin trade
6.500.00
The production, distribution and sale of heroin. Consumption of the drug is considered in determining the reach of the criminal market.
Cocaine trade
1.500.00
The production, distribution and sale of cocaine and its derivatives. Consumption is considered in determining the reach of the market.
Cannabis trade
4.000.00
The illicit cultivation, distribution and sale of cannabis oil, resin, herb or leaves. Consumption is used to determine the market's reach.
Synthetic drug trade
4.000.00
The production, distribution and sale of synthetic drugs. Consumption is considered in determining the reach of the market.
Cyber-dependent crimes
2.50 n/a
Organized crimes that rely solely on using information communications technology with the aim of obtaining a monetary/material benefit.
Financial crimes
5.50 n/a
Organized crime that results in a monetary loss via financial fraud, embezzlement, misuse of funds, tax evasion and abusive tax avoidance.
Criminal actors
4.40-0.48
An assessment of the impact and influence of a specific criminal actor type on society.
Mafia-style groups
2.50-0.50
Clearly defined organized crime groups that usually have a known name, defined leadership, territorial control and identifiable membership.
Criminal networks
5.001.50
Loose networks of criminal associates engaging in criminal activities who fail to meet the defining characteristics of mafia-style groups.
State-embedded actors
8.500.00
Criminal actors that are embedded in, and act from within, the state’s apparatus.
Foreign actors
3.50-1.00
State and/or non-state criminal actors operating outside their home country. Includes foreign nationals and diaspora groups.
Private sector actors
2.50 n/a
Profit-seeking individuals/entities who own/control a part of the legal economy free from the state, that collaborate with criminal actors.
Political leadership and governance
2.000.00
The State's role in responding to organized crime and its effectiveness. Strong political leadership/governance suggests higher resilience.
Government transparency and accountability
1.500.00
The degree to which states have put oversight mechanisms in place to ensure against state collusion in illicit activities.
International cooperation
1.500.00
A country's supranational structures and processes of interaction, policy making and concrete implementation to respond to organized crime.
National policies and laws
2.500.00
A state's legal action and structures put in place to respond to organized crime.
Judicial system and detention
1.50-0.50
Refers to a state’s judiciary’s power to effectively and independently enforce judgments on organized crime-related cases.
Law enforcement
2.000.00
The state’s ability to investigate, gather intelligence, protect and enforce adherence to its rules and procedures against organized crime.
Territorial integrity
4.502.50
The degree to which states are able to control their physical and cyber territory and infrastructure against organized criminal activities.
Anti-money laundering
3.500.00
A state’s ability to implement measures to combat money laundering and other related threats to the integrity of its financial system.
Economic regulatory capacity
2.000.00
The ability to control/manage the economy and regulate transactions (national and international) for trade to thrive within the rule of law.
Victim and witness support
2.000.00
Assistance provided to victims of various forms of organized crime, including initiatives such as witness protection programs.
Prevention
2.000.00
Refers to the existence of strategies, measures, resource allocation, programmes and processes that are aimed to inhibit organized crime.
Non-state actors
1.50-1.50
The degree non-state actors are allowed to engage in OC responses and their roles in supporting State efforts/ as watchdogs to governments.
Political leadership and governance
2.000.00
The State's role in responding to organized crime and its effectiveness. Strong political leadership/governance suggests higher resilience.
Government transparency and accountability
1.500.00
The degree to which states have put oversight mechanisms in place to ensure against state collusion in illicit activities.
International cooperation
1.500.00
A country's supranational structures and processes of interaction, policy making and concrete implementation to respond to organized crime.
National policies and laws
2.500.00
A state's legal action and structures put in place to respond to organized crime.
Judicial system and detention
1.50-0.50
Refers to a state’s judiciary’s power to effectively and independently enforce judgments on organized crime-related cases.
Law enforcement
2.000.00
The state’s ability to investigate, gather intelligence, protect and enforce adherence to its rules and procedures against organized crime.
Territorial integrity
4.502.50
The degree to which states are able to control their physical and cyber territory and infrastructure against organized criminal activities.
Anti-money laundering
3.500.00
A state’s ability to implement measures to combat money laundering and other related threats to the integrity of its financial system.
Economic regulatory capacity
2.000.00
The ability to control/manage the economy and regulate transactions (national and international) for trade to thrive within the rule of law.
Victim and witness support
2.000.00
Assistance provided to victims of various forms of organized crime, including initiatives such as witness protection programs.
Prevention
2.000.00
Refers to the existence of strategies, measures, resource allocation, programmes and processes that are aimed to inhibit organized crime.
Non-state actors
1.50-1.50
The degree non-state actors are allowed to engage in OC responses and their roles in supporting State efforts/ as watchdogs to governments.
The country is both a destination and a source for human trafficking. This criminal market affects students, employees at private-sector institutions, soldiers and public sector workers forced by the government into the cotton harvest industry without payment. (Where farmers do not meet government quotas with their cotton harvests, they are forced to let go of their lands.) Trafficked individuals from Turkmenistan are also forced to work abroad in the textile, agricultural, construction and domestic service sectors, as well as in drug trafficking. Turkmen women are exploited for sex trafficking abroad and within the country. Corruption is rampant; low-level officials and political elite appear to be involved in the market.
Turkmenistan is part of a Central Asian transit area for irregular migration, and for migrant smuggling from Asia (South, South West and East) to Europe. Kazakhstan and Russia are the main destinations for irregular migrants from Turkmenistan. The profits made from the human trafficking and smuggling markets are accrued to domestic and foreign actors alike. Despite limited information about extortion and protection racketeering, these criminal activities are known to be prevalent. For instance, victims of forced labour in the cotton harvest industry are known to face extortion.
The arms trafficking market in Turkmenistan is small to negligible. Gun control in Turkmenistan is very strict: only very few security personnel are authorized to carry handguns. Civilians are required to pass background checks and psychiatric evaluations in order to purchase hunting shotguns.
Due to its location on the route between Asia and Europe, Turkmenistan is a transit and destination country for counterfeit goods. Pirated and counterfeit goods constitute a considerable share of most consumer goods, including imported textile products, footwear and electronics. Counterfeit medicines are also part of this illegal market, which is spreading in the country. There also seems to be an existing market for contraband cigarettes, due to the tightened control on tobacco in the country. Small retailers and top-ranking state affiliates appear to be involved in this market.
There is limited flora crime in Turkmenistan. Wild plants such as soaproot and wild rhubarb are collected, and the former has been pushed to the brink of extinction due to overharvesting. Organized crime units don’t seem to be involved in these markets. The illegal fauna market consists of illegal sturgeon fishing, leopard skin trade and the hunting of houbara bustards. Turkmenistan also acts as a transit country for falcons and hawks that are smuggled between Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan to the Gulf states. Trade in viper snake venom has also been reported. Despite the variety of wildlife trafficking in the country, the fauna crimes market appears to be limited. In terms of non-renewable resources, the state has an opaque approach to the management of the large oil and gas sector in the country, implying high-level state looting of natural resources.
Although Turkmenistan does not have a major heroin market, it appears to be a transit hub for heroin destined for Russia and countries bordering Afghanistan. Such narcotics smuggled through the country are directed from Afghanistan to Turkish, Russian and European markets, either directly or through Iran. Seizures mostly occur along Turkmenistan’s rugged 800-kilometre border with Afghanistan, and its 1 120-kilometre border with Iran. Some reports indicate that heroin is the second most widespread drug, after cannabis, with suspected involvement of state actors in drug shipping.
The lack of information about use and seizure of cocaine suggests that there is a very small or non-existing cocaine market in the country. This is due to the low purchasing power of the vast majority of the population, and the historical use of opiates in the region. Even though there is also limited information about the cannabis market, it is reported to be the most used and widespread drug in the country, although consumption is relatively low by global standards. The extent of the synthetic drugs market is similarly limited, with sporadic data.
Turkmenistan has one of the lowest rates of cybercrime in Central Asia. Citizens have low levels of internet access, making the country an unattractive market for perpetrators.
Financial crimes, in the form of banking fraud, embezzlement of state funds and tax evasion, seem to be the most prevalent forms of financial crime in Turkmenistan. Most crimes in the financial sector are likely perpetrated by bank employees and state affiliates. Lower-level criminality is also widespread, however, making it difficult to estimate the scope.
Corruption is deeply embedded in the state apparatus in Turkmenistan. State embedded actors are known to either facilitate or directly carry out a variety of criminal activities in the country. There is evidence of increasing activity of loose criminal networks in the country, accelerated by the ongoing economic crisis in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic. These networks are mostly involved in drug trafficking, human trafficking and goods smuggling, and they are known to cooperate with transnational organized crime groups. The level of violence perpetrated by actors in criminal networks depends on the criminal market. According to reports, there is often medium or high-level violence in human trafficking.
There are no known mafia-style groups that are still active in Turkmenistan, since the crackdown in the 1990s. One of the last so-called ‘thieves in law’ in Turkmenistan was publicly executed, and since then there has been little if any mafia-style crime. Mafia-style groups have minimal control over the prison system and moderate access to weapons in the country. Because the political elite exert monopolistic control over the entire economy, legal and illegal, there is minimal to moderate interaction between foreign and local criminal actors. The involvement of private-sector actors in criminal markets is similarly limited, with sporadic incidents reported – usually financial crimes.
Turkmenistan has weak levels of political governance and government effectiveness with widespread corruption and opaqueness around the administration. The sectors most commonly affected by corruption are education, health, customs, taxation, justice, the security services and police, and the oil and gas industry. Laws penalizing official corruption are not effectively used. Public administration relies heavily on patronage networks. There are no independent institutions tasked with combating widespread corruption. Overall, there is a lack of information and transparency, which hinders the assessment of criminal markets and the current situation in the country. The exception seems to be cyber-dependent crimes: in this market, the government has shown political will to counter the emerging threat.
Turkmenistan is one of the most isolated countries in the world and also a neutral country. It has limited its cooperation within the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) and other regional agreements, although it has ratified international organized crime treaties addressing corruption and the illicit traffic in narcotic drugs and psychotropic substances. That being said, Turkmenistan’s participation in international programmes is only cosmetic. Internally, the country has adopted legislation and a national legal framework criminalizing many forms of organized crime, including human trafficking, arms trafficking, flora and fauna crimes, drug trafficking and illicit trade of excise goods. However, the implementation of the legal framework remains ineffective.
Even though the law provides measures for an independent judiciary, the judiciary is subordinate and controlled by government executives. It routinely engages in politically motivated abuse of power: judgements are delivered based on instructions from the presidential office, which is able to unilaterally appoint and dismiss judges. In this respect, the courts are commonly used to punish dissent and remove potential threats. No independent judicial control exists, and international bodies are prevented from carrying out meaningful audits. Courts are unable to pass effective judgement against organized crime defendants or high-profile criminals. As for the penitentiary system, prisons are overcrowded with sub-standard living conditions. Corruption and torture are reportedly rampant among prison officials.
Similar to the other branches of the state, the political leadership also holds sway over law enforcement, which is usually used to fight dissenters and political opponents rather than punish and prevent organized crime. The national police and the Ministry for National Security (which succeeded the Soviet KGB) use repressive means to maintain internal security. Arbitrary arrests, excessive use of force and corruption by law enforcement officials have been identified as serious issues, although security forces continue to operate with impunity. In broad terms, crime remains low in the country, but this is mainly due to the repressive characteristics of the regime.
Turkmenistan is a major transit point for many criminal goods because of its geographic location. Given its extensive borders, effective policing is a challenge. It is reasonable to argue that borders remain fairly porous as the country is along major trafficking routes. The country’s proximity to major criminal markets such as the opium and heroin markets of Afghanistan exacerbates its vulnerability to criminal activity. Border control officials are perceived to be corrupt, cast against a backdrop of widespread corruption in the country as a whole. That said, there have been recent efforts to strengthen Turkmenistan’s borders, particularly with Afghanistan. Government measures against cyber-dependent crimes are in place and effective.
Turkmenistan has shown significant improvements in relation to its anti-money laundering (AML) and combatting terrorist financing (CFT) laws. The country has pledged to work with the political risk consultancy Eurasia Group as it continues to address the full range of AML/CFT issues and further strengthen its regime. Some gaps in the protection plan still exist. For example, there are currently no measures in place to prevent the abuse of crowdfunding and online gambling from becoming channels for money laundering.
There are no adequate mechanisms in place to ensure that legitimate businesses can expand and operate free from criminal activities. The country’s economic system is centrally administered and it operates with very tight state regulation and large-scale corruption. Furthermore, the government controls all key sectors of the economy, such as the oil and gas industry, electricity, cotton production and telecommunications. Patronage networks are the basis of power and this has inevitably given rise to a culture of bribery, nepotism and embezzlement, where bribe-taking is the norm. This is particularly prevalent among customs, licensing and social-service agencies, as well as in the education and healthcare sectors. All state projects require a presidential decree. Likewise, all procurement processes are carried out arbitrarily and with no oversight or regulation.
Government efforts in response to human trafficking, sex work and forced labour remain negligible. Despite a legal framework that requires the provision of various services to trafficking victims (such as medical assistance, legal assistance and physical protection), this framework has failed to fulfil its duties. International organizations and NGOs have also not been appropriately funded to provide such services. The legal provisions for victim identification and referral have not been implemented; authorities have had to resort to informally referring suspected trafficking victims to international organizations.
Similarly, the government has made negligible efforts to prevent organized crime and corruption – for example, there have been limited awareness-raising programmes targeting youth. While the government has provided anti-trafficking training programmes for its diplomatic personnel, it has not made any efforts to reduce the demand for sex trafficking and forced labour.
As there are very few individual activists and low levels of informal activism, Turkmenistan’s civil society is virtually non-existent. The status quo is maintained by attacks against journalists and civil society activists; the government has also persecuted and coerced opposition activists living abroad. The law provides for the possibility of privately-owned TV stations to be established, but only if they promote a positive image of Turkmenistan. Even though civil society organizations play a large role in combating human trafficking in Turkmenistan, the state is not open to fostering and promoting a strong and independent civil society sector – this extends to the media. Onerous registration and regulatory requirements prevent most independent NGOs from operating legally or from receiving any foreign funding, and activities by unregistered groups can draw fines, detention and other penalties. Authorities regularly suppress and retaliate against independent media and routinely deny freedom of movement to citizens.
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The criminal markets score is represented by the pyramid base size and the criminal actors score is represented by the pyramid height, on a scale ranging from 1 to 10. The resilience score is represented by the panel height, which can be identified by the side of the panel.
A series of 13 discussion papers, one for each illicit market considered during the development of the Index.
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give us your feedbackThe opinions, findings and conclusions stated herein are those of the Global Initiative Against Transnational Organized Crime and do not necessarily reflect those of the United States Department of State.