Polynesia
x
    Rwanda

    Profile

    Polynesia

    Population

    331,840

    Gross domestic product (GDP - CURRENT $US MILLION)

    USD 1,672 million

    Area (KM²)

    3,620 km²

    Countries

    Tonga, Tuvalu, Samoa.

    2.44-0.14

    Criminality score

    21st of 22 regions 0

    3rd of 4 regions in Oceania 0

    Criminal markets

    2.42-0.38

    An assessment of the value, prevalence and non-monetary impacts of a specific crime type.

    Human trafficking

    2.67-0.16

    Illicit activity involving coercion, deception, abduction or fraud for the purpose of exploitation, regardless of the victim’s consent.

    Human smuggling

    1.330.00

    Activities by an organized crime group involving the illegal entry, transit or residence of migrants for a financial or material benefit.

    Extortion and protection racketeering

    1.33-0.34

    Crimes linked to exerting control over a territory/market including as a mediator and/or requesting a benefit in exchange for protection.

    Arms trafficking

    2.50-0.67

    The sale, acquisition, movement, and diversion of arms, their parts and ammunition from legal to illegal commerce and/or across borders.

    Trade in counterfeit goods

    3.00-1.33

    The production, transport, storage and sale of goods that are fraudulently mislabeled or fraudulent imitations of registered brands.

    Illicit trade in excisable goods

    2.50-1.17

    The illicit transport, handling and sale of excise consumer goods despite a ban or outside a legal market. Excludes oil and counterfeits.

    Flora crimes

    1.170.00

    The illicit trade and possession of species covered by CITES convention, and other species protected under national law.

    Fauna crimes

    4.170.34

    The poaching, illicit trade in and possession of species covered by CITES and other species protected by national law. Includes IUU fishing.

    Non-renewable resource crimes

    1.17-0.16

    The illicit extraction, smuggling, mingling, bunkering or mining of natural resources and the illicit trade of such commodities.

    Heroin trade

    1.00-0.17

    The production, distribution and sale of heroin. Consumption of the drug is considered in determining the reach of the criminal market.

    Cocaine trade

    2.83-0.50

    The production, distribution and sale of cocaine and its derivatives. Consumption is considered in determining the reach of the market.

    Cannabis trade

    3.17-1.16

    The illicit cultivation, distribution and sale of cannabis oil, resin, herb or leaves. Consumption is used to determine the market's reach.

    Synthetic drug trade

    4.17-0.16

    The production, distribution and sale of synthetic drugs. Consumption is considered in determining the reach of the market.

    Cyber-dependent crimes

    2.170.17

    Organized crimes that rely solely on using information communications technology with the aim of obtaining a monetary/material benefit.

    Financial crimes

    3.17-0.33

    Organized crime that results in a monetary loss via financial fraud, embezzlement, misuse of funds, tax evasion and abusive tax avoidance.

    Criminal actors

    2.470.10

    An assessment of the impact and influence of a specific criminal actor type on society.

    Criminal networks

    2.830.16

    Loose networks of criminal associates engaging in criminal activities who fail to meet the defining characteristics of mafia-style groups.

    State-embedded actors

    3.330.16

    Criminal actors that are embedded in, and act from within, the state’s apparatus.

    Foreign actors

    4.000.33

    State and/or non-state criminal actors operating outside their home country. Includes foreign nationals and diaspora groups.

    Private sector actors

    1.17-0.16

    Profit-seeking individuals/entities who own/control a part of the legal economy free from the state, that collaborate with criminal actors.

    5.66-0.07

    Resilience score

    6th of 22 regions 1

    2nd of 4 regions in Oceania 0

    Government transparency and accountability

    5.670.00

    The degree to which states have put oversight mechanisms in place to ensure against state collusion in illicit activities.

    International cooperation

    6.000.17

    A country's supranational structures and processes of interaction, policy making and concrete implementation to respond to organized crime.

    National policies and laws

    6.500.00

    A state's legal action and structures put in place to respond to organized crime.

    Judicial system and detention

    5.67-0.16

    Refers to a state’s judiciary’s power to effectively and independently enforce judgments on organized crime-related cases.

    Law enforcement

    6.500.00

    The state’s ability to investigate, gather intelligence, protect and enforce adherence to its rules and procedures against organized crime.

    Territorial integrity

    6.00-0.33

    The degree to which states are able to control their physical and cyber territory and infrastructure against organized criminal activities.

    Anti-money laundering

    5.50-0.17

    A state’s ability to implement measures to combat money laundering and other related threats to the integrity of its financial system.

    Economic regulatory capacity

    4.50-0.17

    The ability to control/manage the economy and regulate transactions (national and international) for trade to thrive within the rule of law.

    Victim and witness support

    4.50-0.50

    Assistance provided to victims of various forms of organized crime, including initiatives such as witness protection programs.

    Prevention

    4.83-0.17

    Refers to the existence of strategies, measures, resource allocation, programmes and processes that are aimed to inhibit organized crime.

    Non-state actors

    6.830.00

    The degree non-state actors are allowed to engage in OC responses and their roles in supporting State efforts/ as watchdogs to governments.

    5.66 2.47 2.42 5.66 2.47 2.42

    Profile

    Rwanda

    Capital

    Kigali

    Population

    14,256,567

    Gross domestic product (GDP - CURRENT $US MILLION)

    USD 14,251 million

    Area (KM²)

    26,340 km²

    3.870.27

    Criminality score

    158th of 193 countries -6

    51st of 54 countries in Africa -2

    10th of 11 countries in Central Africa 0

    Criminal markets

    4.130.13

    An assessment of the value, prevalence and non-monetary impacts of a specific crime type.

    Human trafficking

    5.500.50

    Illicit activity involving coercion, deception, abduction or fraud for the purpose of exploitation, regardless of the victim’s consent.

    Human smuggling

    2.500.00

    Activities by an organized crime group involving the illegal entry, transit or residence of migrants for a financial or material benefit.

    Extortion and protection racketeering

    1.000.00

    Crimes linked to exerting control over a territory/market including as a mediator and/or requesting a benefit in exchange for protection.

    Arms trafficking

    6.001.00

    The sale, acquisition, movement, and diversion of arms, their parts and ammunition from legal to illegal commerce and/or across borders.

    Trade in counterfeit goods

    6.000.00

    The production, transport, storage and sale of goods that are fraudulently mislabeled or fraudulent imitations of registered brands.

    Illicit trade in excisable goods

    4.000.00

    The illicit transport, handling and sale of excise consumer goods despite a ban or outside a legal market. Excludes oil and counterfeits.

    Flora crimes

    2.00-0.50

    The illicit trade and possession of species covered by CITES convention, and other species protected under national law.

    Fauna crimes

    4.000.00

    The poaching, illicit trade in and possession of species covered by CITES and other species protected by national law. Includes IUU fishing.

    Non-renewable resource crimes

    8.500.00

    The illicit extraction, smuggling, mingling, bunkering or mining of natural resources and the illicit trade of such commodities.

    Heroin trade

    3.000.00

    The production, distribution and sale of heroin. Consumption of the drug is considered in determining the reach of the criminal market.

    Cocaine trade

    3.000.50

    The production, distribution and sale of cocaine and its derivatives. Consumption is considered in determining the reach of the market.

    Cannabis trade

    4.000.00

    The illicit cultivation, distribution and sale of cannabis oil, resin, herb or leaves. Consumption is used to determine the market's reach.

    Synthetic drug trade

    1.500.00

    The production, distribution and sale of synthetic drugs. Consumption is considered in determining the reach of the market.

    Cyber-dependent crimes

    4.500.00

    Organized crimes that rely solely on using information communications technology with the aim of obtaining a monetary/material benefit.

    Financial crimes

    6.500.50

    Organized crime that results in a monetary loss via financial fraud, embezzlement, misuse of funds, tax evasion and abusive tax avoidance.

    Criminal actors

    3.600.40

    An assessment of the impact and influence of a specific criminal actor type on society.

    Criminal networks

    3.000.00

    Loose networks of criminal associates engaging in criminal activities who fail to meet the defining characteristics of mafia-style groups.

    State-embedded actors

    6.001.00

    Criminal actors that are embedded in, and act from within, the state’s apparatus.

    Foreign actors

    4.000.00

    State and/or non-state criminal actors operating outside their home country. Includes foreign nationals and diaspora groups.

    Private sector actors

    3.000.00

    Profit-seeking individuals/entities who own/control a part of the legal economy free from the state, that collaborate with criminal actors.

    5.00-0.54

    Resilience score

    87th of 193 countries 31

    12th of 54 countries in Africa 7

    1st of 11 countries in Central Africa 0

    Government transparency and accountability

    4.00-0.50

    The degree to which states have put oversight mechanisms in place to ensure against state collusion in illicit activities.

    International cooperation

    5.000.00

    A country's supranational structures and processes of interaction, policy making and concrete implementation to respond to organized crime.

    National policies and laws

    6.000.00

    A state's legal action and structures put in place to respond to organized crime.

    Judicial system and detention

    4.50-0.50

    Refers to a state’s judiciary’s power to effectively and independently enforce judgments on organized crime-related cases.

    Law enforcement

    5.50-1.50

    The state’s ability to investigate, gather intelligence, protect and enforce adherence to its rules and procedures against organized crime.

    Territorial integrity

    6.500.00

    The degree to which states are able to control their physical and cyber territory and infrastructure against organized criminal activities.

    Anti-money laundering

    5.50-0.50

    A state’s ability to implement measures to combat money laundering and other related threats to the integrity of its financial system.

    Economic regulatory capacity

    5.50-1.00

    The ability to control/manage the economy and regulate transactions (national and international) for trade to thrive within the rule of law.

    Victim and witness support

    5.00-0.50

    Assistance provided to victims of various forms of organized crime, including initiatives such as witness protection programs.

    Prevention

    5.500.00

    Refers to the existence of strategies, measures, resource allocation, programmes and processes that are aimed to inhibit organized crime.

    Non-state actors

    2.50-1.00

    The degree non-state actors are allowed to engage in OC responses and their roles in supporting State efforts/ as watchdogs to governments.

    5.00 3.60 4.13 5.00 3.60 4.13

    Analysis

    01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11

    People

    Rwanda is a source, transit, and to a lesser extent destination for human trafficking, with men, women and children subjected to forced labour and sexual exploitation. Domestic trafficking has reportedly slightly decreased due to prevention measures, but cross-border trafficking persists, driven by economic hardships and regional trends. Refugees, especially from the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and Burundi, face exploitation, while child soldier recruitment and forced involvement in criminal activities have risen. Rwanda is increasingly a destination for trafficking victims, particularly from China in construction. Domestic exploitation, including forced street begging, is a significant issue. Vulnerable groups include homeless youth, orphans and internally displaced people. Rwanda is also a destination for refugees fleeing regional conflicts, particularly in Libya and the DRC, and many reside in camps or urban areas. While no evidence suggests large-scale human smuggling into or out of Rwanda, limited smuggling networks facilitate irregular migration, primarily for Congolese individuals, especially the Banyarwanda. There is no evidence of an organized extortion or racketeering market.

    Trade

    Rwanda faces challenges related to illicit arms circulation due to past internal conflict, regional instability and border control issues. While unregulated weapons are reportedly used in local crimes, overall violence is low. Rebel groups from Burundi and Tanzania are primary sources of illegal firearms entering Rwanda, contributing to an active black market. Former Rwandan military factions and dissident groups facilitate arms trafficking, particularly along the DRC border. Overall, while increased security measures have reduced inflows, reports suggest an increase in weapons trafficking from Rwanda to the DRC, and there are allegations of government support for armed groups despite international restrictions.

    Illicit trade in counterfeit goods appears to be widespread, including locally produced food, clothing, pharmaceuticals and sanitary products which are smuggled through porous borders. The closure of key trade routes and economic hardships have contributed to the demand for counterfeit goods. The ban on second-hand clothes has further fuelled this market. Counterfeit alcohol from illegal breweries is a concern and increased cases of intoxication pose health risks. The smuggling of excise goods, primarily alcohol and tobacco, persists despite enforcement efforts. These goods are often transported from the DRC by trucks and taxi-moto operators supplying local retailers. The illicit trade in tobacco has grown due to high excise taxes, and smuggling is concentrated at major border crossings such as Goma-Gisenyi and Bukavu-Cyangugu.

    Environment

    Flora crimes are minimal due to strong forest governance and enforcement. The country has effectively controlled deforestation. Only small-scale actors engage in bamboo and firewood logging for fuel. Illegal sales of agricultural inputs such as seeds and fertilizers have been detected and authorities have disrupted major operations. Rwanda’s position and enforcement discourage transnational syndicates from using it as a route for illicit timber trade, and traffickers favour routes through Uganda and Kenya for access to broader east African and international markets. Similarly, wildlife trafficking occurs at a relatively limited scale, though cases involving ivory, rhino horn and exotic species have been recorded, primarily in transit to and from the DRC and Burundi. Proximity to conflict economies in the region heightens vulnerability to poaching, which threatens shared ecosystems. The country is also a source and transit hub for exotic birds, with declining populations observed. Illegal poaching of various species continues at low levels, often driven by poverty.

    Rwanda plays a significant role in the illicit mineral trade, particularly in gold, tin, coltan and tantalum smuggled from the DRC. These minerals are trafficked into Rwanda and exported into global supply chains, primarily on the national airline. Rwanda’s increasing control over DRC gold flows may be linked to rising criminal activity in the sector. Reports suggest a post-pandemic resurgence of illegal mining and substantial coltan and gold exports despite limited domestic production. Allegations persist about state-backed militant involvement though there is scepticism about Rwanda’s role. Authorities have denied involvement, highlighting regulatory measures and periodic mineral seizures as counteractions.

    Drugs

    Rwanda has a minor role in global drug markets but is emerging as a regional transit hub. It is an overland trans-shipment point for heroin entering from Kenya and Tanzania, destined for southern and central Africa. Domestic consumption is low and youth are the primary users. As Rwanda’s regional connectivity grows, its involvement in transnational drug trade dynamics is expected to increase. Cocaine trafficking is relatively limited, though instances of local use and trafficking have been observed and there have been seizures at Kigali International Airport. The drug primarily enters via west and central African airports, and there are additional smuggling routes through Uganda and the DRC. The compact packaging of cocaine facilitates its concealment, often on individuals or in small bags. Alleged unreported cases suggest that foreigners, particularly from Europe and North America, access cocaine through fraudulent diplomatic channels and trade.

    Rwanda is a trans-shipment point for regionally produced cannabis, particularly from the DRC, and a minor destination market. Cannabis use is low compared to its neighbours but the substance has gained popularity among young people and is increasingly subject to trafficking. Police efforts to curb its distribution in Kigali have yielded only modest results. The synthetic drug trade is negligible. Although there is probably minimal domestic demand for synthetic drugs, the lack of research and evidence leads to the assumption that the market is virtually non-existent.

    Cyber Crimes

    Rwanda has experienced a notable presence of cyber-dependent crimes, particularly involving computer viruses, attributed to increased digital infrastructure and greater online exposure. Even so, cyber-dependent crimes are sporadic and the market is not yet systematically consolidated.

    Financial Crimes

    Financial crimes, particularly tax evasion, embezzlement and misuse of public funds, cause significant monetary loss. Despite government efforts, corruption is widespread in the public and private sectors, where mismanagement and violations of contractual terms contribute to financial setbacks. Ponzi schemes and mobile money fraud are growing concerns, with perpetrators using phone calls and SMSes to exploit individuals. Financial crimes involving powerful state-linked entities often go unreported, and some government investments, such as in European sports clubs, have not been audited, leading to potential opportunities for misconduct.

    Criminal Actors

    Rwanda does not appear to have domestic mafia-style groups, though powerful families have significant control over various sectors of the economy. Politically motivated armed groups such as the Democratic Forces for the Liberation of Rwanda are active along the DRC-Rwanda border, engaging in criminal activities that fuel regional instability. Loose criminal networks exert influence over illegal markets, including counterfeiting, illicit trade in excisable goods, wildlife trafficking, mineral smuggling and financial crimes. These networks often involve state-supported entities and local groups, including some in customs and the mineral sector. The criminal landscape is further complicated by cross-border interactions with transnational actors.

    State-embedded actors are reported to be involved in criminal markets, including arms trafficking, non-renewable resource crimes and the illicit trade in wildlife and drugs. There are allegations of government support for the M23 rebel group in the DRC despite embargoes. These actors are thought to facilitate illegal activities such as smuggling, espionage and illicit financial dealings, and reports suggest the use of shell companies and international property acquisitions. While foreign media highlight these issues, the government typically denies or deflects responsibility.

    In general, reports refer to smuggling activities in border regions as often being perpetrated by foreign nationals from the DRC, Kenya, Burundi, Uganda and Tanzania. Although militias from neighbouring countries such as the DRC, Burundi and Tanzania have previously been involved in illegal activities, there have been few recent reports of incidents.

    Anecdotal evidence points to private sector involvement in illicit markets, particularly in the flow of goods and minerals. These actors are also believed to facilitate embezzlement, potentially collaborating with state-embedded individuals. Some sources suggest private sector figures may act as fronts for businesses tied to influential figures, though these claims are largely anecdotal.

    Leadership and governance

    Rwanda is one of Africa’s safest and most stable countries. The government exerts tight control and prioritizes crime prevention in national security strategies. Challenges include political suppression and allegations of impunity for major crimes, particularly those involving prominent political figures. The regime is authoritarian and there is limited opposition or criticism of its leadership style. The government faces accusations of involvement in regional conflicts, with claims that it supports armed groups in neighbouring countries. While governance improvements are noted, political freedoms are constrained and there are significant concerns about the gradual transition of power beyond the current leadership.

    Rwanda faces challenges in government accountability and transparency despite its anti-corruption frameworks. Issues such as embezzlement, fraudulent procurement and judicial dishonesty persist, though the government has made efforts to combat corruption. Electoral transparency is a concern and opposition parties face barriers to participation. While there are legal provisions for access to government information, their effectiveness is limited by weak enforcement and fear of retribution against independent investigations. Corruption perception is moderate and bribery encounters have decreased. The government’s anti-corruption efforts have led to the prosecution of several officials, though some high-ranking figures are seen as immune to accountability due to their political ties.

    Rwanda has actively engaged in international cooperation, ratifying key treaties related to organized crime, including the UN Convention against Transnational Organized Crime, the UN Convention against Corruption and the Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species. However, it has yet to ratify the Arms Trade Treaty and the 1961 Single Convention on Narcotic Drugs. Regionally, Rwanda is involved in peacekeeping missions and works with the East African Community to address regional tensions. It collaborates with INTERPOL and regional law enforcement on criminal markets. However, diplomatic relations with Western countries are strained due to concerns about the presidency’s governance, notably affecting cooperation on human rights and diplomatic presence. In 2023, the country signed a treaty with the UK committing to further reinforce protection of migrants and asylum seekers. Rwanda is also a signatory to the Hague Convention on International Cooperation, which aims to strengthen collaboration in prosecuting serious crimes.

    Rwanda has implemented several laws to combat organized crime, including cybercrimes, human trafficking, drug trafficking and corruption. The government enacted comprehensive cybercrime legislation to address rising fraud and cyberterrorism. To combat illegal logging and wildlife poaching, Rwanda passed laws on biodiversity and wildlife conservation, aligning with its tourism-driven development strategy. However, enforcement faces challenges due to limited capacity. The Rwanda Development Board and Rwanda Investigation Bureau play key roles in enforcing these laws, particularly in protecting wildlife and promoting ecotourism.

    Criminal justice and security

    The judicial system, while undergoing modernization, is vulnerable to political influence and the ruling Rwandan Patriotic Front plays a significant role in judicial appointments. Reforms in the prison system face challenges due to limited resources. Political dissent is often targeted through selective detentions, especially among opposition members. The National Public Prosecution Authority reports that theft and voluntary assault dominate crime statistics and a significant portion of cases are resolved through mediation. However, the lack of specialized units to combat organized crime and the prevalence of harsh prison conditions, including overcrowding and abuse, are concerns. There are also uninvestigated deaths in detention, including high-profile cases.

    The law enforcement system includes several agencies, such as the National Police, the Rwanda Investigation Bureau and the Financial Intelligence Centre, tasked with tackling organized crime, particularly financial and drug-related offences. Despite limited resources, the government conducts regular training for law enforcement to address specific criminal markets, such as human trafficking. While law enforcement is effective in investigating corruption, there are concerns about police brutality and the disproportionate targeting of government critics. Reports indicate arbitrary arrests, beatings and a tendency to overlook offences committed by regime supporters. Public trust in the police is high due to low violent crime rates and tight territorial control.

    Rwanda maintains its territorial integrity but a laissez-faire policy allows traffickers and smugglers to operate before being detected. The military patrols the borders but incursions by armed groups continue, particularly from the DRC and Burundi. Tensions between Rwanda and the DRC have escalated, particularly over alleged support for M23 rebels, prompting the Rwanda Defence Force to strengthen border security. Rwanda is developing its cyber capabilities and has inaugurated a cybercrime investigative centre to combat rising cyber threats, despite technological gaps.

    Economic and financial environment

    The financial sector, primarily dominated by banks, has made significant strides in modernizing and bolstering resilience against money laundering and terrorism financing. These include the introduction of an anti-money laundering framework and the establishment of a Financial Intelligence Centre. Risks associated with money laundering and terrorist financing are moderate, with particular concern over the laundering of proceeds from mineral smuggling across the DRC border. Although authorities are responsible for tackling these issues, concerns persist about their operational independence and effectiveness in combating illicit financial activities.

    The economy is primarily driven by subsistence agriculture, tea, coffee exports and increasing tourism, and manufacturing also plays a role. The government has improved the regulatory environment, fostering business opportunities, particularly in sectors such as renewable energy, agriculture and information and communications technology. However, challenges such as energy shortages, poor transportation infrastructure, regional instability and political influence on investments hinder private sector growth. While reforms have supported economic expansion and gradual reduction of poverty, the weak rule of law and persistent corruption discourage long-term development of economic regulatory capacity. The government’s nationalization of businesses and legal disputes with investors have undermined efforts to attract foreign investment. Vision 2050 aims for middle-income status by 2035.

    Civil society and social protection

    Government efforts to support human trafficking victims have had mixed results. Authorities operate one-stop centres offering shelter and medical, legal and psychosocial services, though they primarily focus on female victims and pay less attention to men. Transit centres sometimes release detainees without proper support, exposing them to revictimization. Long-term victim support services vary and there are concerns about inadequate screening. The absence of formal internal procedures to identify and refer potential victims, including those from underserved communities, hinders efforts and access to services. The government also promotes anti-drug support and rehabilitation.

    The government has made efforts to combat human trafficking, drug trafficking, cybercrimes and environmental offences, implementing national and local awareness campaigns and training initiatives. It has focused on cross-border trafficking, particularly small arms proliferation, while re-establishing an interagency anti-trafficking working group. Community policing has contributed to crime reduction, such as the arrest of individuals involved in illegal alcohol production. Rwanda has participated in combating human smuggling in the Sahel, northern Africa and the Horn of Africa, cooperating with European countries and the UN High Commissioner for Refugees. The National Police has targeted counterfeit goods and illegal alcohol but faces resource constraints. Despite all these initiatives, the government still does not meet the minimum standards for the elimination of organized crime and identifies and prosecutes only a low number of trafficking cases.

    Civil society organizations face restrictions, particularly those not aligned with the government. While independent organizations exist, their impact is limited due to constraints such as the new NGO law, which gives the government control of their management and funding. This has contributed to distrust of foreign NGOs, especially since their perceived failure to assist during and after the 1994 genocide. Press freedom has declined due to government-controlled media and significant censorship. Journalists face surveillance, detention and even exile for critical reporting. Public assembly is limited due to fears of police violence, and civil liberties are restricted. Rwanda is one of the countries where the press is most tightly controlled by the state.

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    The criminal markets score is represented by the pyramid base size and the criminal actors score is represented by the pyramid height, on a scale ranging from 1 to 10. The resilience score is represented by the panel height, which can be identified by the side of the panel.

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    This project was funded in part by a grant from the United States Department of State. The opinions, findings and conclusions stated herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the United States Department of State.

    ENACT is funded by the European Union and implemented by the Institute for Security Studies and INTERPOL, in affiliation with the Global Initiative Against Transnational Organized Crime.