How to measure organized crime?
A series of 13 discussion papers, one for each illicit market considered during the development of the Index.
Read more on globalinitiative.netCriminal markets
4.830.18
An assessment of the value, prevalence and non-monetary impacts of a specific crime type.
Human trafficking
6.501.00
Illicit activity involving coercion, deception, abduction or fraud for the purpose of exploitation, regardless of the victim’s consent.
Human smuggling
6.500.50
Activities by an organized crime group involving the illegal entry, transit or residence of migrants for a financial or material benefit.
Extortion and protection racketeering
7.50 n/a
Crimes linked to exerting control over a territory/market including as a mediator and/or requesting a benefit in exchange for protection.
Arms trafficking
6.001.00
The sale, acquisition, movement, and diversion of arms, their parts and ammunition from legal to illegal commerce and/or across borders.
Trade in counterfeit goods
2.50 n/a
The production, transport, storage and sale of goods that are fraudulently mislabeled or fraudulent imitations of registered brands.
Illicit trade in excisable goods
3.50 n/a
The illicit transport, handling and sale of excise consumer goods despite a ban or outside a legal market. Excludes oil and counterfeits.
Flora crimes
3.500.50
The illicit trade and possession of species covered by CITES convention, and other species protected under national law.
Fauna crimes
5.501.00
The poaching, illicit trade in and possession of species covered by CITES and other species protected by national law. Includes IUU fishing.
Non-renewable resource crimes
3.000.00
The illicit extraction, smuggling, mingling, bunkering or mining of natural resources and the illicit trade of such commodities.
Heroin trade
6.500.50
The production, distribution and sale of heroin. Consumption of the drug is considered in determining the reach of the criminal market.
Cocaine trade
2.50-0.50
The production, distribution and sale of cocaine and its derivatives. Consumption is considered in determining the reach of the market.
Cannabis trade
6.000.50
The illicit cultivation, distribution and sale of cannabis oil, resin, herb or leaves. Consumption is used to determine the market's reach.
Synthetic drug trade
6.001.00
The production, distribution and sale of synthetic drugs. Consumption is considered in determining the reach of the market.
Cyber-dependent crimes
3.00 n/a
Organized crimes that rely solely on using information communications technology with the aim of obtaining a monetary/material benefit.
Financial crimes
4.00 n/a
Organized crime that results in a monetary loss via financial fraud, embezzlement, misuse of funds, tax evasion and abusive tax avoidance.
Criminal actors
5.000.38
An assessment of the impact and influence of a specific criminal actor type on society.
Mafia-style groups
5.501.50
Clearly defined organized crime groups that usually have a known name, defined leadership, territorial control and identifiable membership.
Criminal networks
6.001.00
Loose networks of criminal associates engaging in criminal activities who fail to meet the defining characteristics of mafia-style groups.
State-embedded actors
7.000.00
Criminal actors that are embedded in, and act from within, the state’s apparatus.
Foreign actors
3.501.00
State and/or non-state criminal actors operating outside their home country. Includes foreign nationals and diaspora groups.
Private sector actors
3.00 n/a
Profit-seeking individuals/entities who own/control a part of the legal economy free from the state, that collaborate with criminal actors.
Political leadership and governance
2.50-1.50
The State's role in responding to organized crime and its effectiveness. Strong political leadership/governance suggests higher resilience.
Government transparency and accountability
3.00-0.50
The degree to which states have put oversight mechanisms in place to ensure against state collusion in illicit activities.
International cooperation
5.500.00
A country's supranational structures and processes of interaction, policy making and concrete implementation to respond to organized crime.
National policies and laws
5.500.00
A state's legal action and structures put in place to respond to organized crime.
Judicial system and detention
3.00-0.50
Refers to a state’s judiciary’s power to effectively and independently enforce judgments on organized crime-related cases.
Law enforcement
3.00-0.50
The state’s ability to investigate, gather intelligence, protect and enforce adherence to its rules and procedures against organized crime.
Territorial integrity
4.000.00
The degree to which states are able to control their physical and cyber territory and infrastructure against organized criminal activities.
Anti-money laundering
5.000.00
A state’s ability to implement measures to combat money laundering and other related threats to the integrity of its financial system.
Economic regulatory capacity
2.00-3.00
The ability to control/manage the economy and regulate transactions (national and international) for trade to thrive within the rule of law.
Victim and witness support
3.000.00
Assistance provided to victims of various forms of organized crime, including initiatives such as witness protection programs.
Prevention
2.00-0.50
Refers to the existence of strategies, measures, resource allocation, programmes and processes that are aimed to inhibit organized crime.
Non-state actors
2.50-1.00
The degree non-state actors are allowed to engage in OC responses and their roles in supporting State efforts/ as watchdogs to governments.
Political leadership and governance
2.50-1.50
The State's role in responding to organized crime and its effectiveness. Strong political leadership/governance suggests higher resilience.
Government transparency and accountability
3.00-0.50
The degree to which states have put oversight mechanisms in place to ensure against state collusion in illicit activities.
International cooperation
5.500.00
A country's supranational structures and processes of interaction, policy making and concrete implementation to respond to organized crime.
National policies and laws
5.500.00
A state's legal action and structures put in place to respond to organized crime.
Judicial system and detention
3.00-0.50
Refers to a state’s judiciary’s power to effectively and independently enforce judgments on organized crime-related cases.
Law enforcement
3.00-0.50
The state’s ability to investigate, gather intelligence, protect and enforce adherence to its rules and procedures against organized crime.
Territorial integrity
4.000.00
The degree to which states are able to control their physical and cyber territory and infrastructure against organized criminal activities.
Anti-money laundering
5.000.00
A state’s ability to implement measures to combat money laundering and other related threats to the integrity of its financial system.
Economic regulatory capacity
2.00-3.00
The ability to control/manage the economy and regulate transactions (national and international) for trade to thrive within the rule of law.
Victim and witness support
3.000.00
Assistance provided to victims of various forms of organized crime, including initiatives such as witness protection programs.
Prevention
2.00-0.50
Refers to the existence of strategies, measures, resource allocation, programmes and processes that are aimed to inhibit organized crime.
Non-state actors
2.50-1.00
The degree non-state actors are allowed to engage in OC responses and their roles in supporting State efforts/ as watchdogs to governments.
Human trafficking remains a growing problem in Sri Lanka, particularly for workers who are forced into labour in other countries. These workers are typically employed in the construction, garment and domestic-service sectors in various parts of the world, such as the Middle East, Asia, Europe and the United States. In addition to forced labour, cases of sexual exploitation and child sex tourism have also been reported, with the latter showing a rise in recent years. Increasing numbers of Sri Lankans, who leave their country due to the continuing instability there, end up vulnerable to human trafficking in destination countries.
Sri Lanka is not only a source but also a transit country for human smuggling. Due to factors like the country's political instability, economic crisis, inflation, and shortages of essential goods, many Sri Lankans are being smuggled to Australia, the Middle East, the UK and Canada. Female domestic workers from Sri Lanka are primarily traveling to the Middle East and Europe, often through false job contracts and employment offers. Sri Lanka is also frequently used as a transit point for smuggled individuals, often from Africa and the Middle East, who are destined for South East Asia or the Pacific region. Smuggling is sometimes facilitated by friends and families of victims; and on occasion, victims are accompanied by agents or other contacts for part of the journey. There have been cases where Sri Lankan nationals were recruited for immigration to Canada but were confined in different places in India.
Extortion and protection racketeering are also both prevalent, with numerous instances of victims being forced to pay large sums to criminal syndicates to avoid violence or other harm. The economic crisis has worsened this issue, with increased unemployment and inflation leading to a rise in such crimes, despite law enforcement operations regularly apprehending individuals involved in extortion and racketeering.
Local businessmen, politicians, and their supporters are driving the demand for illicit arms in Sri Lanka. The current supply of illegal arms is not a result of significant inflows of illegal weapons, but rather of wartime weapons ending up in the hands of criminal networks. Arms trafficking is believed to occur primarily in Puttalam, Kalmunai in the Ampara district, and Ikirigollewa in Medawachchiya, where locals allegedly smuggle arms while trading dried fish. Criminal gangs linked to arms trafficking operate in the west (Colombo and Budulla) and the south (Galle and Matara). Illicit arms manufacturing is also believed to occur – usually producing small arms and ammunition. There has been a surge in serious crimes in Sri Lanka, where small arms were trafficked or used, which reflects the country’s ongoing struggles with inflation, unemployment and the rising cost of living.
Counterfeiting is an emerging criminal market in Sri Lanka, affecting various industries such as consumer goods and medical equipment. The sale of counterfeit goods results in lost revenue and jobs, and reputational damage. The current financial crisis and consequent shortages of essential goods has further exacerbated the spread of counterfeit and substandard products, particularly through online platforms. The most common counterfeit products in the Sri Lankan market include substandard pharmaceutical products, cosmetics, electronics and agricultural products.
Regarding excise goods, the high price of legal cigarettes in Sri Lanka makes the country an attractive target for the global illicit tobacco trade. The problem is aggravated by weak border control measures and low penalties for smugglers, which lead to a loss of government revenue and further funding for transnational criminal activities such as the trafficking of narcotics, weapons and humans. It is estimated that almost a quarter of cigarettes consumed in Sri Lanka are illicit. Seizures of smuggled Chinese cigarettes in Sri Lanka have been reported: most arrive through the free port of Dubai, from Turkey, China and Vietnam.
Illegal timber, especially rosewood and other valuable tree species, is predominantly smuggled through Sri Lanka as a transit country. Smugglers avoid customs inspections by labelling shipments of illegal wood from Africa as originating in Sri Lanka, before sending them to India, Singapore and ultimately, China. However, Sri Lanka is also a source country for the illegal logging of rosewood and other rare hardwoods, primarily driven by the tropical hardwood furniture market. There have been reports of forestry officials in Sri Lanka facilitating the illegal timber trade, particularly in Mullaitivu, where illegal logging has led to high rates of deforestation.
When it comes to fauna crimes, Sri Lanka plays a notable role as a transit point, particularly for the smuggling of pangolin scales and other wildlife products from Africa to China through South Asia or South East Asia and the Pacific. The rise of Asian employees in Chinese industrial ventures in the country has also contributed to an increase in fauna crimes, particularly along the eastern and southern coasts, with a strong interest in ivory tusks. Additionally, there has been a rise in illegally harvesting sea cucumbers in the waters between India and Sri Lanka: smugglers use Sri Lanka as a legal export route for sea cucumbers caught in India, where their capture is forbidden.
Sri Lanka's criminal market for non-renewable resources is driven primarily by the illicit oil trade, and by gold smuggling. Aided by a lack of new detections or arrests by law enforcement, smuggling remains problematic in the country – with the complicity of corrupt customs officials. Gold is also smuggled from India and Oman for sale on the black market, with much of the smuggling taking place via maritime routes, especially from northern Sri Lanka.
Sri Lanka is a transit country for heroin mostly originating from Afghanistan, Pakistan and India, destined for Europe. Heroin is also the most widely abused drug in Sri Lanka, making the country a significant destination in the global trade. Recent open-ocean seizures of heroin indicate a rise in maritime trafficking of the drug, sourced from the Afghanistan-Pakistan region.
Due to its porous borders, Sri Lanka is predominantly a transit country for the regional cocaine trade (especially in liquefied form), although the COVID-19 pandemic and disruptions in air travel have somewhat impacted this transit route. The market for cocaine is smaller than other criminal markets in Sri Lanka, with profits accrued to domestic actors and demand stemming mainly from the local nightlife scene. Criminal gangs have been masking cocaine shipments to Australia and Europe in Sri Lankan containers.
Sri Lanka is both a source and a transit country for the cannabis trade, with local demand driving the market. There has been a recent surge in the trade, fueled by growing local consumption and lax policies. Illicit cannabis cultivation has been increasing in wildlife reserve jungles due to the economic recession and limited funds for law enforcement.
Sri Lanka is also a transit country for synthetic drugs sourced from India, Pakistan and Afghanistan on their way to richer economies. However, there is also a domestic market: local youth and the nightlife scene drive demand. The authorities have recorded a rising number of school children and young adults falling victim to abuse and addiction to crystal methamphetamine. Sea and air routes, as well as postal services, are increasingly being used for the smuggling of synthetic drugs into the country.
Sri Lanka's poor digital infrastructure places the country at high risk for cybercrime – the number of reported cases has increased in recent years. Victims are primarily affected by hacking, distributed denial-of-service (DDoS) attacks, and ransomware. These attacks mainly originate from outside the country and are carried out by individuals rather than organized groups. The primary targets have been the manufacturing, education and healthcare industries, as well as small and medium-sized businesses that prioritize other investments over cybersecurity products. In recent years, anonymous hackers have conducted several cyberattacks in Sri Lanka, including attacks on government websites, the parliament website system, and a specialized local academic ISP called the Lanka Education and Research Network. An increase in fraudulent cryptocurrency schemes has also been observed.
Financial crimes are becoming increasingly prevalent in Sri Lanka, with a rise in online fraud due to the growing use of online banking and shopping platforms. Perpetrators are using web or mobile app-based loan schemes and fake cheques to defraud the public. Tax evasion is also a major problem: individuals, finance companies and casinos are among the most common evaders. While authorities have arrested several individuals for committing financial fraud, concerns have been raised about the effectiveness and independence of the judiciary system, particularly regarding impunity for one of the biggest financial crimes in the country that caused millions in losses to the treasury.
The direct or indirect involvement of state-embedded actors in criminal markets is widespread in the country. These actors are accused of collaborating with criminal networks to provide security, financial assistance and goods and services to corrupt politicians, in exchange for protection and assistance in maintaining their activities. Moreover, there is anecdotal evidence suggesting the complicity of military officials in drug trafficking. Loose criminal networks are a similarly significant problem in Sri Lanka, with a surge in organized crime following the economic recession and resultant inflation. These networks are involved in drug trafficking, human trafficking, smuggling counterfeit and excise goods, and are linked to motorbike gangs. They are thought to be financially aided by ringleaders based in the UAE; weak extradition treaties between Sri Lanka and that country hinder officials from arresting the leaders and charging them locally.
There are at least 30 known mafia-style groups active in Sri Lanka. These groups appear to focus on drug trafficking due to the country’s role as a transit hub, and they seem to be particularly active in the south and the north, with reported links to state-embedded actors who reportedly provide protection and the ability operate with impunity.
Foreign actors are believed to control transnational drug trafficking, human trafficking and human smuggling markets, using the knowledge of local partners to evade detection along Sri Lanka’s porous borders. Recent interceptions of Sri Lankan boats carrying large amounts of drugs, guns and ammunition point to potential Indian involvement in the drug trade in Sri Lanka. An increasing Chinese influence in Sri Lanka, and the numerous Chinese nationals living in the country, have resulted in a growing involvement of Chinese actors in criminal markets, especially in financial crimes. This is evidenced by recent operations carried out by law enforcement.
Money laundering and illicit business activities are prevalent in the private sector, with several high-profile individuals and celebrities implicated. The owners of private companies have been accused of using legitimate business activities as a pretext for generating profits from organized crime. Other criminal activities carried out by private sector actors include fraudulent activities in foreign exchange, and infringement of intellectual property rights.
Political leadership and governance in Sri Lanka have both been under scrutiny due to the country's internal debates on the severity of organized crime, and its refusal to cooperate with international investigations into human rights violations. Citizen trust in the government has decreased dramatically, due to rampant corruption and a lack of transparency and accountability. The government's disregard for the rule of law, and the increased complicity of state-embedded actors in criminal activities, have allowed organized criminal groups to thrive. Public frustration led to mass protests in 2022, exacerbating the country’s instability. Even though several government officials resigned in the wake of the protests, and a constitutional reform was promulgated that reduces the powers of the executive, these changes were not perceived to be stringent enough to promote trust and accountability. Despite calls for greater transparency, there has been a significant disconnect between the government's actions and what the people desire. In fact, Sri Lanka's institutional structure has been designed to evade accountability, which has influenced financial crimes. The country’s reputation for corruption and human rights violations continues to hamper its talks with the International Monetary Fund.
Sri Lanka is making efforts to combat organized crime by collaborating with regional and international entities, and by engaging in conversations with leaders on strengthening drug trafficking detection, extradition of suspects, and arrests. In terms of national policies and laws, the Sri Lankan government has made some efforts to strengthen its regulatory framework with an aim to combat organized crime. To protect children from exploitation, the labour laws have been amended to raise the minimum age of employment to 16 years. The Sri Lankan cabinet has also approved two draft bills on cyber-security, aimed at eliminating extremist groups and criminal syndicates that use electronic means for terrorist activities, organized crime and anti-social activities. However, amendments made under the Prevention of Terrorism Act (which has been long criticized for justifying prolonged arbitrary detention and extraction of false confessions through torture, among others), failed to bring this legislation in line with international law, as the revisions did not address the problematic provisions under the relevant legislation.
The judicial system in Sri Lanka is inefficient and susceptible to corruption. It is hindered by delays, political influence and an inability to hold officials accountable for financial crimes and abuse of power. Changes made to the Sri Lankan constitution have reduced judicial control over executive officials. Although attempts have been made to address issues such as inaccurate public records and judicial autonomy, the judiciary's independence is still a concern. The country's prisons are overcrowded, resulting in inhumane detention conditions, torture, and excessive use of force by security agencies.
Law enforcement in Sri Lanka is plagued by corruption, prosecution delays and political interference. In response to protests, unnecessary and excessive force had been used by law enforcement officials against protesters, which resulted in human rights violations. No judicial process has been started in relation to these violations of human rights, letting law enforcement officials act with impunity. Despite these systemic issues, some steps have been taken to improve law enforcement's effectiveness in combating organized crime, by activating anti-narcotics agencies in the country’s nine provinces.
Sri Lanka's lack of infrastructure and its ineffective border management make it vulnerable to organized crime, particularly when it comes to boat travel to and from India. In recent years, however, Sri Lanka has made efforts to strengthen border and maritime security, such as participating in the Container Control Programme, establishing the Sri Lanka Border Risk Assessment Centre, and expanding its partnership with the US to secure its maritime border. Nevertheless, the impact of these efforts remains limited due to the absence of an up-to-date counterterrorism regulation.
Sri Lanka has implemented several legislative amendments and international agreements to combat money laundering, and several global organizations have removed it from the list of countries with strategic deficiencies for this crime. Despite this, Sri Lanka is still considered to be a jurisdiction at risk. One area where Sri Lanka has a loophole for money laundering is in monitoring the finances of non-profit organizations, as the government has not implemented legislation for this.
The country is currently facing its worst economic crisis since gaining independence, with high inflation, defaults on foreign debt, power cuts, and shortages of food and fuel. The crisis is attributed to several factors, including decreased tax revenue, ill-considered infrastructure projects dependent on foreign loans, mounting external debt, bans on imported chemical fertilizers, poor COVID-19 management, lack of economic and social accountability, and poor policy-making. As a result, Sri Lanka is now considered an unfree economy. Talks with the International Monetary Fund have been delayed due to Sri Lanka defaulting on all its payments to international creditors, and the country is currently printing money to meet its day-to-day needs. Although the appointment of financial and legal advisors to support debt restructuring may provide some hope, the fluid political situation and heightened fiscal imbalances pose significant uncertainty for the future, which may lead to further economic contraction.
The current victim and witness protection system in Sri Lanka is lacking. Former torture perpetrators have been appointed to leadership positions within the national authority established to protect crime victims and witnesses, which has deterred many victims and witnesses from coming forward. While the government has made efforts to provide support and protection to identified trafficking victims, those victims require a magistrate's order to access shelter services, and no government shelter can accommodate adult male victims.
Although Sri Lanka has implemented multiple prevention strategies to combat crime, most of these strategies are generic and not specifically directed at organized crime. The lack of transparency and accountability in the Sri Lankan judicial system, and the widespread distrust of public servants, have made these measures ineffectual. Despite efforts to prevent serious crimes like drug trafficking and human smuggling, Sri Lanka is experiencing an increase in both, with a parallel growth in petty crimes, all of which indicate the ineffectiveness of the preventative measures taken by the government.
The role of civil society organizations in promoting peace and development in Sri Lanka is crucial, although many face harassment and limited civic space. NGOs are involved in a range of activities, such as post-conflict recovery and poverty alleviation, but the Sri Lankan government has reportedly targeted human rights organizations, media, lawyers, political opponents and law enforcement officers. The country's press freedom has deteriorated: state-sponsored disinformation campaigns are common, and there are continued threats against journalists, activists and lawyers. Additionally, human rights violations – particularly those related to freedom of expression and peaceful assembly – were observed during protests in 2022, raising concerns among international organizations.
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The criminal markets score is represented by the pyramid base size and the criminal actors score is represented by the pyramid height, on a scale ranging from 1 to 10. The resilience score is represented by the panel height, which can be identified by the side of the panel.
A series of 13 discussion papers, one for each illicit market considered during the development of the Index.
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